EUR/USD oscillates near 1.1350 as traders digest mixed signals from Washington and xrp price prediction after lawsuitFrankfurt
Federal Reserve officials express growing concern about recession risks amid trade policy turbulence
Market participants price in 25 basis point ECB rate reduction this Thursday
The EUR/USD currency pair exhibits range-bound trading behavior during Tuesday's European session, hovering near the 1.1350 psychological level following recent upward momentum. This consolidation phase reflects temporary stabilization in the US Dollar after enduring sustained downward pressure throughout the previous week. The DXY index, measuring the Greenback against six major counterparts, currently tests support near multi-year lows around 99.00.
Market analysts observe weakening demand for the US Dollar as its traditional safe-haven appeal diminishes amid persistent trade policy uncertainty. The White House's unpredictable tariff announcements continue generating volatility across currency markets, with President Trump's administration signaling potential temporary suspensions of automotive import duties to support domestic manufacturers.
Economic concerns stemming from current trade policies have simultaneously pressured the Dollar while boosting Treasury yields. The benchmark 10-year note has witnessed significant yield expansion exceeding 13% across six consecutive trading sessions as investors price in additional risk premiums. This unusual combination of currency weakness and yield strength reflects market apprehension about potential policy-induced economic slowdowns.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller recently characterized the evolving trade environment as potentially disruptive to monetary policy normalization. In public remarks, Waller emphasized recession risks over inflationary pressures, suggesting the central bank might prioritize economic support measures. The policymaker projected limited duration for any tariff-related price increases, reinforcing expectations for potential policy accommodation.
Market Watch: ECB Decision Looms Large for Euro Traders
Eurozone monetary policy takes center stage as the ECB prepares its Thursday announcement, with overwhelming consensus forecasting a 25 basis point reduction in the deposit facility rate to 2.25%. This would mark the sixth consecutive easing measure implemented by Frankfurt policymakers.
Investor attention will focus intently on President Lagarde's subsequent press conference for forward guidance regarding additional policy adjustments and the institution's assessment of transatlantic trade developments.
Multiple ECB representatives have downplayed concerns about sustained inflationary impacts from US trade actions, suggesting any price pressures could be mitigated by redirected Chinese exports to European markets. The ongoing US-China trade dispute has intensified following Beijing's retaliatory measures against American imports.
Positive signals emerge regarding Eurozone-US trade relations, with White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett indicating substantial progress in negotiations with European counterparts during recent media appearances.
Technical Perspective: Bullish Structure Intact Despite Consolidation
The EUR/USD maintains constructive technical positioning despite current range-bound activity. The pair benefits from uniformly ascending moving averages across various timeframes, while momentum indicators including the 14-day RSI remain firmly in bullish territory above the 70 threshold.
From a chart perspective, the 1.1500 level represents the next significant resistance zone, while the April 11 swing low near 1.1192 serves as critical support. Market technicians suggest the current consolidation may represent a pause within a broader upward trajectory rather than a reversal signal.