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Why Is GBP/USD Nearing 6-Month Highs? Key Factors Driving the Rally | US-UK Trade Talks in Focus

  • The Best meme coins websiteBritish pound extends gains against a broadly weaker US dollar as tariff implementation weighs on economic sentiment

  • Federal Reserve officials express growing concerns about stagflation risks amid slowing growth and persistent price pressures

  • Market participants await next week's high-stakes trade discussions between UK and US officials


The sterling continues its impressive run against the greenback, with GBP/USD hovering near 1.3280 during Friday's Asian trading session. This marks the currency pair's strongest level since October 2024, fueled by a combination of dollar weakness and improving UK economic fundamentals.


Recent comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have injected fresh volatility into currency markets. The central bank chief highlighted the challenging economic environment where slowing growth coincides with stubborn inflation, potentially creating stagflationary conditions. Market pricing currently reflects expectations for approximately 86 basis points of rate reductions by December 2025, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.


US labor market data presented a mixed picture this week. Initial jobless claims showed unexpected improvement, declining to 215,000 for the April 12 reporting period. However, continuing claims rose by 41,000 to 1.885 million, suggesting some softening in labor market conditions.


Across the Atlantic, UK economic indicators continue to demonstrate resilience. Wage growth remains robust while GDP figures show gradual improvement. Inflation metrics have moderated recently, with March's annual CPI reading slowing to 2.6% and core services inflation - a key Bank of England metric - dipping to 4.7%.


The political calendar highlights next week's scheduled trade discussions between UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves and US officials. Market participants will closely monitor these negotiations, particularly following reports suggesting potential for rapid progress in bilateral trade agreements.

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